How to pronounce "quadrant"

Those of you who may remember me from TEDGlobal

remember me asking a few questions

which still preoccupy me.

One of them was: Why is it necessary to spend

six billion pounds

speeding up the Eurostar train

when, for about 10 percent of that money,

you could have top supermodels, male and female,

serving free Chateau Petrus to all the passengers

for the entire duration of the journey?

You'd still have five billion left in change,

and people would ask for the trains to be slowed down.

Now, you may remember me asking the question as well,

a very interesting observation,

that actually those strange little signs

that actually flash "35" at you,

occasionally accompanying a little smiley face

or a frown,

according to whether you're within or outside the speed limit --

those are actually more effective

at preventing road accidents than speed cameras,

which come with the actual threat

of real punishment.

So there seems to be a strange disproportionality at work,

I think, in many areas of human problem solving,

particularly those which involve human psychology,

which is: The tendency

of the organization or the institution

is to deploy as much force as possible,

as much compulsion as possible,

whereas actually, the tendency of the person

is to be almost influenced

in absolute reverse proportion

to the amount of force being applied.

So there seems to be a complete disconnect here.

So what I'm asking for is the creation of a new job title --

I'll come to this a little later --

and perhaps the addition of a new word

into the English language.

Because it does seem to me that large organizations

including government, which is, of course, the largest organization of all,

have actually become

completely disconnected

with what actually matters to people.

Let me give you one example of this.

You may remember this as the AOL-Time Warner merger, okay,

heralded at the time as the largest

single deal of all time.

It may still be, for all I know.

Now, all of you in this room, in one form or other,

are probably customers of one or both

of those organizations that merged.

Just interested, did anybody notice anything different

as a result of this at all?

So unless you happened to be a shareholder

of one or the other organizations

or one of the dealmakers or lawyers involved in the no-doubt lucrative activity,

you're actually engaging in a huge piece of activity

that meant absolutely bugger-all to anybody, okay?

By contrast, years of marketing have taught me

that if you actually want people to remember you

and to appreciate what you do,

the most potent things are actually very, very small.

This is from Virgin Atlantic upper-class,

it's the cruet salt and pepper set.

Quite nice in itself, they're little, sort of, airplane things.

What's really, really sweet is every single person looking at these things

has exactly the same mischievous thought,

which is, "I reckon I can heist these."

However, you pick them up and underneath,

actually engraved in the metal, are the words,

"Stolen from Virgin Atlantic Airways upper-class."

(Laughter)

Now, years after

you remember the strategic question

of whether you're flying in a 777 or an Airbus,

you remember those words and that experience.

Similarly, this is from a hotel in Stockholm, the Lydmar.

Has anybody stayed there?

It's the lift, it's a series of buttons in the lift.

Nothing unusual about that at all,

except that these are actually not the buttons that take you to an individual floor.

It starts with garage at the bottom, I suppose, appropriately,

but it doesn't go up garage, grand floor, mezzanine, one, two, three, four.

It actually says garage, funk, rhythm and blues.

You have a series of buttons. You actually choose your lift music.

My guess is that the cost of installing this in the lift

in the Lydmar Hotel in Stockholm

is probably 500 to 1,000 pounds max.

It's frankly more memorable

than all those millions of hotels we've all stayed at

that tell you that your room has actually been recently renovated

at a cost of 500,000 dollars,

in order to make it resemble every other hotel room you've ever stayed in

in the entire course of your life.

Now, these are trivial marketing examples, I accept.

But I was at a TED event recently and Esther Duflo,

probably one of the leading experts in,

effectively, the eradication of poverty in the developing world,

actually spoke.

And she came across a similar example

of something that fascinated me

as being something which, in a business context or a government context,

would simply be so trivial a solution

as to seem embarrassing.

It was simply to encourage the inoculation of children

by, not only making it a social event --

I think good use of behavioral economics in that,

if you turn up with several other mothers

to have your child inoculated,

your sense of confidence is much greater than if you turn up alone.

But secondly, to incentivize that inoculation

by giving a kilo of lentils to everybody who participated.

It's a tiny, tiny thing.

If you're a senior person at UNESCO

and someone says, "So what are you doing

to eradicate world poverty?"

you're not really confident standing up there

saying, "I've got it cracked; it's the lentils," are you?

Our own sense of self-aggrandizement

feels that big important problems

need to have big important, and most of all, expensive

solutions attached to them.

And yet, what behavioral economics shows time after time after time

is in human behavioral and behavioral change

there's a very, very strong disproportionality at work,

that actually what changes our behavior

and what changes our attitude to things

is not actually proportionate to the degree

of expense entailed,

or the degree of force that's applied.

But everything about institutions

makes them uncomfortable

with that disproportionality.

So what happens in an institution

is the very person who has the power to solve the problem

also has a very, very large budget.

And once you have a very, very large budget,

you actually look for expensive things to spend it on.

What is completely lacking is a class of people

who have immense amounts of power, but no money at all.

(Laughter)

It's those people I'd quite like to create

in the world going forward.

Now, here's another thing that happens,

which is what I call sometimes "Terminal 5 syndrome,"

which is that big, expensive things

get big, highly-intelligent attention,

and they're great, and Terminal 5 is absolutely magnificent,

until you get down to the small detail, the usability,

which is the signage,

which is catastrophic.

You come out of "Arrive" at the airport, and you follow

a big yellow sign that says "Trains" and it's in front of you.

So you walk for another hundred yards,

expecting perhaps another sign,

that might courteously be yellow, in front of you and saying "Trains."

No, no, no, the next one is actually blue, to your left,

and says "Heathrow Express."

I mean, it could almost be rather like that scene from the film "Airplane."

A yellow sign? That's exactly what they'll be expecting.

Actually, what happens in the world increasingly --

now, all credit to the British Airport Authority.

I spoke about this before,

and a brilliant person got in touch with me and said, "Okay, what can you do?"

So I did come up with five suggestions, which they are actually actioning.

One of them also being,

although logically it's quite a good idea

to have a lift with no up and down button in it,

if it only serves two floors,

it's actually bloody terrifying, okay?

Because when the door closes

and there's nothing for you to do,

you've actually just stepped into a Hammer film.

(Laughter)

So these questions ... what is happening in the world

is the big stuff, actually,

is done magnificently well.

But the small stuff, what you might call the user interface,

is done spectacularly badly.

But also, there seems to be a complete sort of gridlock

in terms of solving these small solutions.

Because the people who can actually solve them

actually are too powerful and too preoccupied

with something they think of as "strategy" to actually solve them.

I tried this exercise recently, talking about banking.

They said, "Can we do an advertising campaign?

What can we do and encourage more online banking?"

I said, "It's really, really easy."

I said, "When people login to their online bank

there are lots and lots of things they'd probably quite like to look at.

The last thing in the world you ever want to see is your balance."

I've got friends who actually

never use their own bank cash machines

because there's the risk that it might display

their balance on the screen.

Why would you willingly expose yourself to bad news?

Okay, you simply wouldn't.

I said, "If you make, actually, 'Tell me my balance.'

If you make that an option rather than the default,

you'll find twice as many people log on to online banking,

and they do it three times as often."

Let's face it, most of us -- how many of you

actually check your balance before you remove cash from a cash machine?

And you're pretty rich by the standards of the world at large.

Now, interesting that no single person does that,

or at least can admit to being so anal as to do it.

But what's interesting about that suggestion

was that, to implement that suggestion wouldn't cost 10 million pounds;

it wouldn't involve large amounts of expenditure;

it would actually cost about 50 quid.

And yet, it never happens.

Because there's a fundamental disconnect, as I said,

that actually, the people with the power

want to do big expensive things.

And there's to some extent a big strategy myth

that's prevalent in business now.

And if you think about it, it's very, very important

that the strategy myth is maintained.

Because, if the board of directors convince everybody

that the success of any organization

is almost entirely dependent on the decisions made by the board of directors,

it makes the disparity in salaries

slightly more justifiable

than if you actually acknowledge that quite a lot of the credit for a company's success

might actually lie somewhere else,

in small pieces of tactical activity.

But what is happening is that effectively --

and the invention of the spreadsheet hasn't helped this;

lots of things haven't helped this --

business and government suffers from a kind of physics envy.

It wants the world to be the kind of place where

the input and the change are proportionate.

It's a kind of mechanistic world

that we'd all love to live in

where, effectively, it sits very nicely on spreadsheets,

everything is numerically expressible,

and the amount you spend on something is proportionate

to the scale of your success.

That's the world people actually want.

In truth, we do live in a world that science can understand.

Unfortunately, the science is probably closer to being climatology

in that in many cases,

very, very small changes

can have disproportionately huge effects,

and equally, vast areas of activity, enormous mergers,

can actually accomplish absolutely bugger-all.

But it's very, very uncomfortable for us

to actually acknowledge that we're living in such a world.

But what I'm saying is we could just make things

a little bit better for ourselves

if we looked at it in this very simple four-way approach.

That is actually strategy, and I'm not denying that strategy has a role.

You know, there are cases where you spend quite a lot of money

and you accomplish quite a lot.

And I'd be wrong to dis that completely.

Moving over, we come, of course, to consultancy.

(Laughter)

I thought it was very indecent of Accenture

to ditch Tiger Woods in such

a sort of hurried and hasty way.

I mean, Tiger surely was actually obeying the Accenture model.

He developed an interesting outsourcing model for sexual services,

(Laughter)

no longer tied to a single monopoly provider,

in many cases, sourcing things locally,

and of course, the ability to have between one and three girls delivered at any time

led for better load-balancing.

So what Accenture suddenly found so unattractive about that, I'm not sure.

Then there are other things that don't cost much and achieve absolutely nothing.

That's called trivia.

But there's a fourth thing.

And the fundamental problem is we don't actually have a word for this stuff.

We don't know what to call it.

And actually we don't spend nearly enough money

looking for those things,

looking for those tiny things that may or may not work,

but which, if they do work,

can have a success absolutely out of proportion

to their expense, their efforts

and the disruption they cause.

So the first thing I'd like

is a competition -- to anybody watching this as a film --

is to come up with a name for that stuff on the bottom right.

And the second thing, I think,

is that the world needs to have people in charge of that.

That's why I call for the "Chief Detail Officer."

Every corporation should have one,

and every government should have a Ministry of Detail.

The people who actually have no money,

who have no extravagant budget,

but who realize that actually

you might achieve greater success in uptake

of a government program

by actually doubling the level of benefits you pay,

but you'll probably achieve exactly that same effect

simply by redesigning the form

and writing it in comprehensible English.

And if actually we created a Ministry of Detail

and business actually had Chief Detail Officers,

then that fourth quadrant,

which is so woefully neglected at the moment,

might finally get the attention it deserves.

Thank you very much.